# News Media **Video Appearances** - [2000-2025](https://scholar.harvard.edu/sites/scholar.harvard.edu/files/frankel/files/prof_frankel_videos-2000-25_0.docx) [- White House, 1997-98](https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1WKygVn_yl3jN5vIr44Bk1KXh6WYy7dHD) \- (on [C-Span](https://www.c-span.org/person/?jeffreyfrankel)). \- [The Economics of Everything](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hVOppUYsO98) \- Son, Evan, interviewing me in [a series of 1-min. clips](//www.tiktok.com/@professor.frankel). starting Nov. 2025. **On Trump 2:** "[US Labor Slowdown Hits Tax Base for Debt](https://www.chosun.com/english/market-money-en/2026/01/08/Y23TBCWSP5BXHMUPIX7AF36UKQ/)," *Chosun Daily,* Jan 8, 2026 “[The most likely solution to the U.S. debt crisis is severe austerity triggered by a fiscal calamity, former White House economic adviser says](//fortune.com/2025/12/06/us-debt-crisis-soution-severe-austerity-fiscal-calamity-default-rates-financial-repression/),” *Fortune*, Dec. 6, 2025. “[The Economy Does Better Under Democrats, but Most People Don’t Know That](https://www.splinter.com/the-economy-does-better-under-democrats-but-most-people-dont-know-that),” Splinter, Nov. 11, 2025 ["What could a transatlantic tariff escalation mean for the global economy?](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WsZmxfsBUh4)" *DW News*, July 14, 2025 "[Destructive Capital,](https://www.destructivecapital.com/)" May 29, 2025. "[Trump will aDestructivedapt and the damage will be done](https://www.kathimerini.gr/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/JF_1.jpg?v=1746700687)," *Kathimerini*, May 8, 2025. "[The chances of a recession in the US are thrice the normal rate](https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/et-evoke/the-chances-of-a-recession-in-the-us-are-thrice-the-normal-rate-now-donald-trumps-economics-will-impact-global-prosperity-jeffrey-frankel-harvard-university/articleshow/119219285.cms?from=mdr)," *Economic Times,* March 20. "[Where Next for the US Economy?](https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2025/03/where-next-for-the-u-s-economy/)" *Harvard Gazette*, March 18, 2025. US threats against Canada, The Day, [*Deutsch Welle*](https://www.dw.com/en/the-day-news-in-review/program-18983090), March 14, 2025. “[Economists Reveal the Truth Behind Musk and Trump’s ‘DOGE Dividends’](https://ca.news.yahoo.com/economists-reveal-truth-behind-musk-232638765.html),” *The Daily Beast*, Feb. 20, 2025 **On inflation:** "[Voters Blamed Biden and Harris for Rising Costs. Was that Fair?](https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2024/11/15/voters-harris-biden-inflation-blame/76202453007/.)" *USA Today*, Nov.15, 2024 "[Fed delivers good news on the economy](/news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2024/02/fed-delivers-good-news-overall-on-%20economy)," *Harvard Gazette*, Feb. 2, 2024 “[Persistent inflation hitting economies outside of US](https://thenationaldesk.com/news/americas-news-now/persistent-inflation-hitting-economies-outside-of-us-federal-reserve-stimulus-pandemic-recession-central-bank-europe-energy-food-prices),” *The National Desk*, Apr.28, 2022 “[Harvard Economist Jeffrey Frankel: The Real Deal on Inflation](https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/harvard-economist-jeffrey-frankel-the-real-deal-on/id1369437819?i=1000542750079),” podcast, *Beyond Politics*, Nov.22, 2021 ”[What should Biden do about inflation?](https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2021/11/jeffrey-frankel-offers-biden-advice-on-inflation/)” *Harvard Gazette*, Nov.18, 2021 **On the dollar:** "[Trump’s Tariff Response to Potential BRICS Currency ‘More Appearance Than Substance,’ Experts Say](/themedialine.org/by-region/trumps-tariff-response-to-potential-brics-currency-more-appearance-than-substance-experts-say/)" *MediaLine,* 12/4/24 “[Why JD Vance Wants a Weak Dollar. Is That A Good Idea?”](https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/why-jd-vance-wants-a-weak-dollar-is-that-a-good-idea.html) *New York Magazine*: Intelligencer, July 18, 2024 ["The Surging Dollar" 5-min. video interview](https://news.yahoo.com/u-dollar-levels-haven-t-160020797.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw&tsrc=twtr), *Yahoo News*, Sept. 29, 2022 "[The Strong Dollar](https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/energy/the-strong-dollar/2021/01/21/7ab9c374-5c09-11eb-a849-6f9423a75ffd_story.html)," *The Washington Post*, Jan. 21, 2021. “[Gold just hit $2,000 an ounce](https://www.nbcnews.com/business/markets/gold-just-hit-2-000-ounce-s-not-necessarily-good-n1235911),” *NBC News*, Aug.5, 2020. “[Dollar blues: why the pandemic is testing confidence in the US currency](https://www.ft.com/content/7c963379-10df-4314-9bd0-351ddcdc699e),” *Financial Times*, Aug.1-2. “[America is weaponising its currency and financial system](https://www.economist.com/briefing/2020/01/18/america-is-weaponising-its-currency-and-financial-system),” *The Economist*, Jan. 18, 2020. “[Why the renminbi’s challenge to the dollar has faded](https://www.ft.com/content/ba410544-ecba-11e9-ad1e-4367d8281195),” *Financial Times*, Oct. 15, 2019 "[Why a 1985 global deal to weaken the dollar offers a road map to ending the trade war](https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-1985-global-deal-to-weaken-the-dollar-offers-a-road-map-to-ending-the-trade-war-2019-08-08?mod=hp_markets)," *Marketwatch*, Aug.9. “[Currency manipulator? What latest twist in trade war means](https://www.csmonitor.com/Business/2019/0807/Currency-manipulator-What-latest-twist-in-trade-war-means),” *Christian Science Monitor*, Aug.8, 2019. “[There’s a ‘contradiction’ in the US stance on the Chinese yuan: Professor](https://www.cnbc.com/video/2019/05/27/there-is-a-contradiction-in-the-us-stance-on-the-chinese-yuan.html),” video, CNBC, May 27. ”[As the trade war heats up, China looks to Japan’s past for lessons](https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2019/05/23/as-the-trade-war-heats-up-china-looks-to-japans-past-for-lessons),” *The Economist*, May 25, 2019. "[Weaponization's threat to the dollar's exorbitant privliege](/ttps://omfif.podbean.com/e/in-conversation-jeffrey-frankel-james-w-harpel-professor-of-capital-formation-and-growth-at-harvard-universitys-kennedy-school-of-government/)" *OMFIF podcast*, Oct.11, 2018 "[These Are the 2 Biggest Reasons for a Weaker Dollar](https://www.marketwatch.com/story/these-are-the-2-biggest-reasons-for-a-weaker-us-dollar-2018-01-30)," *Marketwatch,* Jan.30, 2018. "[Is the Dollar Still a Safe Haven?](https://www.institutionalinvestor.com/article/b159h699rsf85f/is-the-dollar-still-a-safe-haven)" *Institutional Investor*, Oct. 23, 2017. “[Recession-Dating, the Plaza Accord, and Globalization](https://soundcloud.com/macro-musings),” 1-hour podcast, *Macro Musings*, March 2017. **On supposed recession in 2022 or 2023** “[Global Economy 2023: Reassessing the Risk of Economic Downturn Ahead](https://twitter.com/HarvardBizGov/status/1624100134526103554),” Mandiri Investment Forum 2023, Feb. 1st ["US Economy Grew to End-2022,](https://www.cbsnews.com/video/us-economy-grew-to-end-2022-unemployment-rate-stays-low/)" *CBS News*, January 26, 2023. "[Resilient US economy grows 2.1 percent in 2022](https://thehill.com/policy/finance/3831323-resilient-us-economy-grows-2-1-percent-in-2022/)," *The Hill*, Jan. 26, 2023. “Many economists have gone way overboard in talking as if a 2023 recession is all but inevitable...” Jeffrey Frankel, an economist at the Harvard Kennedy School. “[Despite 2nd quarter GDP slump, many economists maintain US is not in a recession](https://thenationaldesk.com/news/americas-news-now/despite-second-quarter-slump-in-gdp-many-economists-say-us-is-not-in-a-recession-inflation-high-prices-jeffrey-frankel-national-bureau-of-economic-research-gdp-us-economy-declines-for-second-quarter-gdp-shrank-recession-on-the-way-oil-gas-covid-fears),” *The National Desk*, Sinclair Broadcast Group, July 29th. ["US economy shrinks again, sparking recession fears](https://www.bbc.com/news/business-62310355)," *BBC.com*, July 28, 2022 "[Recession referees reject Idea that 2 GDP declines mean recession](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-28/official-recession-arbiters-reject-gdp-decline-means-a-slump#xj4y7vzkg)," *Bloomberg*, July 28. “[The 8 economists who decide if the U.S. is in a recession](https://www.washingtonpost.com/us-policy/2022/07/27/who-decides-recession/),” *Washington Post*, July 27,. “**Is Recession Staring Us Down? Already Upon Us? Here’s Why It’s Hard to Say**,*” New York Times***,** July 26. "[It's not offiicially a recession until this Cambridge-based says so](https://www.bostonglobe.com/2022/07/23/nation/its-not-officially-recession-until-this-cambridge-based-group-says-so-making-that-call-is-little-like-fight-club/)," Boston Globe, July 23. “[The Recession Judges](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2022-07-13/what-s-happening-in-the-world-economy-meet-the-eggheads-who-declare-recessions),” *Bloomberg*, July 13, 2022. ["How will we know if we are in recession?"](https://www.vox.com/2022/7/7/23198724/united-states-recession-indicators-economists-forecasters) *Vox*, July 7, 2022. ["Inflation is not a recession," video](https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/the-close/inflation-is-not-a-recession-odds-of-a-recession-this-year-not-particularly-high-harvard-professor~2460772), *BNN/Bloomberg*, June 8, 2022. **On Russian invasion:** "[What's behind the rebound in the ruble?](https://www.cbsnews.com/news/how-russias-ruble-became-the-best-performing-currency-of-the-year/)" *CBS News*, May 26, 2022. “[After unprecedented Russia boycotts](https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/08/after-russia-exit-moves-corporations-face-a-much-trickier-end-game.html),” *CNBC*, March 8, 2022. **On trade:** "[Globalization's New Puzzle](https://www.gfmag.com/magazine/june-2022/globalizations-new-puzzle)," *Global Finance Magazine*, June 2022. “[Why Trump’s Trade Agenda Is Here to Stay](https://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/29270/why-trump-s-trade-agenda-is-here-to-stay),” *World Politics Review*, Dec. 8, 2020. Biden and trade, Balance of Power, *Bloomberg*, [video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qhxL0OE6Bl0) (12:42 to 21:00), Dec. 10, 2020. "[Only Trump Can Save the World Economy](https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-10-09/u-s-china-trade-war-truce-is-needed-for-global-growth)," *Bloomberg,* Oct. 10, 2019. “[US-China trade and currency war](https://podcasts.apple.com/kr/podcast/0819-news-focus-2-us-china-trade-and-currency-war/id1038822609?i=1000447208130&l=en),” 7-minute podcast, *tbs* radio, Aug. 19, 2019. "[Trump's Currency War Arsenal Catches Flak at Home](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-06-28/trade-war-latest-trump-xi-currencies-china-g-20-tariffs)," *Bloomberg*, June 28, 2019. "[There's a 'contradiction' in the US stance on the Chinese yuan: Professor](https://finance.yahoo.com/video/theres-contradiction-us-stance-chinese-051007252.html)" video, *CNBC* video, May 28, **"**[As the trade war heats up, China looks to Japan’s past for lessons](https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2019/05/21/as-the-trade-war-heats-up-china-looks-to-japans-past-for-lessons)**"** *The Economist,* May 21, 2019. "[Modern Economics Makes Globalization Unnecessarily Complicated](https://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2019/05/17/modern_economics_makes_globalization_unnecessarily_complicated_103745.html)," *RealClearMarkets*, [J.Snider](https://www.realclearmarkets.com/authors/jeffrey_snider/), May 17. “[This Company Likes Some Of Trump's Tariffs On China, But Not Others](https://www.npr.org/2018/09/07/645605000/this-company-likes-some-of-trumps-tariffs-on-china-but-not-others),” *NPR,* Sept. 7, 2018. ["](http://magazine.caijing.com.cn/20180321/4425135.shtml)[How Trump Echoes Reagan on Trade](https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/ronald-reagan-free-trade-how-trump-similar/),*"* Reihan Salam, *National Review,* June 15, 2018. [“Trump Tariff Global Trap,”](http://magazine.caijing.com.cn/20180321/4425135.shtml) *Caijing Magazine,* Beijing (In Chinese), March 21, 2018. "[Trump’s tariffs will do more harm than good, experts say](https://www.pbs.org/newshour/economy/making-sense/trumps-tariffs-will-do-more-harm-than-good-experts-say),” *PBS Newshour*, March 8. "[Why economists are worried about international trade,](https://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/16/business/trump-economists-trade-tariffs.html)" Greg Mankiw, *New York Times*, Feb.16, 2018. "Trade Deficits and the Trump Administration," *C-span* [video of panel: Frankel, Krueger, Aliber, Barfield & Lachman](https://www.c-span.org/video/?434091-1/us-trade-deficit-global-economy), at American Enterprise Institute, Sept. 15, 2017. “[U.S. Trade Deficit Last Year Was Widest Since 2012](https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-trade-deficit-narrowed-in-december-totaled-502-25-billion-in-2016-1486474624),” *WSJ*, Feb.7, 2017. "[Trans-Pacific Partnership](http://media.wwl.com/a/116249902/8-8-9am-tommy-trans-pacific-partnership.htm?q=tpp)," *Radio station WWL*, Aug. 8, 2016. "[Global Trade and the Politics of the TPP Backlash,](http://www.wbur.org/onpoint/2016/08/04/election-2016-tpp-trade-nafta)" *On Point*, NPR, Aug.4, 2016. (My segment starts at 20 minutes in.) [Interview with David Romer](https://photos.google.com/share/AF1QipPvZZYYQV1c0ORbjs9socvQY4oD1k3_Nvu1ohHdHIlbn6DIyrcTJaXigEpoIXPOJA/photo/AF1QipPWyPEkiikWGu6UmVrYfhNRsgicSFLNO4h_GJ5P?key=OTRkSGstdlREeVFfa0tJREJ2WTRWcUJETWpSbUlR) about "Does Trade Cause Growth?" **On financial markets & money:** “[Inside the World of Black Bitcoin, Where Crypto Is About Making More Than Just Money](https://time.com/6106706/bitcoin-black-investors/),” *Time Magazine*, October 15, 2021. **“**[**Will asset-price bubbles burst and tear down the economy? Here’s what leading luminaries say**](https://www.marketwatch.com/story/will-asset-price-bubbles-burst-and-tear-down-the-economy-heres-what-leading-luminaries-say-11626876459)**.”** ***MarketWatch*****, July 21, 2021**. "[Bond rate shift may suggest recession](https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2019/08/rare-bond-rate-shift-may-suggest-future-recession-harvard-analyst-cautions/)," *Harvard Gazette,* August 15, 2019. "[Andrew Yang says the US needs to change the way it measures the economy. Experts aren’t convinced](https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/economy-2020-andrew-yang-campaigns-on-gdp-overhaul-2019-8-1028442695),” *Markets Insider*, August 13. “[No president has attacked the Fed in the way that Trump has: Harvard professor](https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/the-open/no-president-has-attacked-the-fed-in-the-way-that-trump-has-harvard-professor~1735802),” *BNN Bloomberg,* July 23, 2019. “[Stephen Moore Might Be a Slimebag, but Let's Not Forget That His Economic Ideas are Terrible Too,” ](https://slate.com/business/2019/04/stephen-moore-economic-policy-terrible.html)*Slate Magazine*-Apr 24, 2019. “[Economists say the way Trump's latest Fed pick wants to set interest rates is 'fringe' and ‘nuts'](https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/trump-fed-pick-stephen-moore-economists-reject-commodity-pegged-rates-2019-3-1028056810)” *Markets Insider*, March 25, 2019. "[Bogle on Bubbles](https://www.barrons.com/articles/bogle-on-bubbles-1520001128)," *Barron's*, March 2, 2018. “[Pimco economist Clarida seen as front-runner for Fed deputy job](https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-fed-clarida-exclusive/exclusive-pimco-economist-clarida-seen-as-front-runner-for-fed-deputy-job-idUSKCN1GD69D),” *Reuters,* March 1, 2018.. “[2018: The Year of Nominal GDP Targeting?”](https://www.alt-m.org/2018/03/07/2018-year-nominal-gdp-targeting/) *Alt-M*, Cato Institute [Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives](http://www.cato.org/centers/center-monetary-financial-alternatives), March 7. “[Ultra low market volatility – friend or foe?”](https://www.ft.com/content/505e96ec-c8fe-3676-bf11-659c5e38a248) *Financial Times*, Gavyn Davies,Jan. 14, 2018. "[The Fed needs a better target, and then it needs to figure out how to hit it](https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-fed-needs-a-new-tool-kit-in-a-slow-growth-world-2018-01-10)," *Marketwatch*, Jan. 10. "[Monetary Policy and Inflation](https://www.c-span.org/video/?439387-1/ben-bernanke-lawrence-summers-discuss-monetary-policy)," C-span video, Jan.8, 2018, with Bernanke et al. (JF at 30-min mark, to 43). **On the coronavirus recession:** “[U.S. Recession in 2020 Lasted Two Months, Academic Panel Says](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-07-19/u-s-recession-in-2020-lasted-two-months-academic-panel-says),” Bloomberg, July 19, 2021. “[How 2020 Whipsawed Economists](https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-2020-whipsawed-economists-11608460201),” *Wall Street Journal,* Dec. 20, 2020. “[48 States Relax Restrictions](https://www.ctvnews.ca/video?clipId=1960536),” CTV news, Canada, May 17, 2020. “[Trump: US to Speed Up Vaccine Research](https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/w172x2yp122jpvq),” *Newshour*, BBC radio, May 15, 2020. JF at 26:58 to 30:00. "[Harvard Economist Warns Of Roller Coaster Economy](https://boston.cbslocal.com/2020/05/14/coronavirus-covid-19-us-economy-jeffrey-frankel-harvard-jon-keller-wbz-tv-news/)," *WBZ-TV*, CBS, May 14, 2020. “[Risk of reopening US economy too fast: A W-shaped recovery](https://apnews.com/adab99c1d674ea016630103b4a66f5e8),” *Associated Press*, May 11. In [*Fortune*](https://fortune.com/2020/05/11/us-economy-reopen/). [*Washington Times*](https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2020/may/11/risk-of-reopening-us-economy-too-fast-a-w-shaped-r/). [*ABC News*](https://abcnews.go.com/Business/wireStory/risk-reopening-us-economy-fast-shaped-recovery-70618395)*,* May 12. "Coronavirus and the Economy,"[ audio,](https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000hvtj) BBC Radio 4, The Briefing Room, May 7, 2020. "[Markets should beware this morally hazardous approach to policymaking](https://www.ft.com/content/93772a66-0395-4803-8421-b279a7530de3)," *FInancial Times*, May 7. “[Recession or depression? Two Harvard economists anticipate what the rebound of the economic crisis will be like](https://www.lanacion.com.ar/economia/recesion-depresion-nid2351831),” *La Nación*, Argentina, Apr.l 8,. ["Top economists see echoes of Depression in US sudden stop,” *Bloomberg*](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-22/top-economists-see-some-echoes-of-depression-in-u-s-sudden-stop), March 22. Or*The Japan Times,* March 23, 2020 .“[Why odds of a coronavirus recession have risen](https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2020/03/why-the-odds-of-a-coronavirus-recession-have-risen/),” interview in the *Harvard Gazette* March 17, 2020. "[Coronavirus Might Spark a Business Debt Crisis, Economist Warns”](https://www.newsweek.com/coronavirus-economy-corporate-debt-crisis-recession-economist-1490949) *Newsweek*, March 6. “[A Crisis Without A Cure](https://www.weekendavisen.dk/2020-10/samfund/en-krise-uden-kur),” interview, *Weekend Avisen* (*Weekend Review*), Denmark, March 5; [translated from the Danish](/file_url/848). [**Excerpts from columns by, and interviews of, Jeffrey Frankel**](/file_url/849),**concerning the Coronavirus Recession of 2020.** **On Biden & the 2020 election:** “[Biden administration facing déjà vu moment as lofty goals meet economic crisis](https://www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence/en/news-insights/latest-news-headlines/biden-administration-facing-d-233-j-224-vu-moment-as-lofty-goals-meet-economic-crisis-61554717),” *S&P Global*, Dec.15, 2020. “[Biden’s Economic Team Charts a New Course for Globalization](https://www.wsj.com/articles/biden-economic-team-trade-trump-globalization-11606848311)” *Wall Street Journal*, Dec.2, 2020.**mpian Underton** “Biden 'to give better economic outcomes' than current president: Former White House economist,”[ ](https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/economics/video/biden-to-give-better-economic-outcomes-than-current-president-former-white-house-economist~2)[video](https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/economics/video/biden-to-give-better-economic-outcomes-than-current-president-former-white-house-economist~2065105), *BNN-Bloomberg*, Oct. 28, 2020. "[The danger of Elizabeth Warren](https://www.nytimes.com/2019/11/20/opinion/elizabeth-warren-2020.html)," by Thomas Edsall, *New York Times*, Nov. 20, 2019. "[Elizabeth Warren is 'God's Gift..](https://www.newsweek.com/elizabeth-warren-donald-trump-election-2020-appeal-1472950?).'," Brendan Cole, *Newsweek*, Nov. 20, 2019. **On Richard Cooper:** “[Richard N. Cooper, Harvard economist and adviser to presidents, dies at 86](/file_url/917),” *Boston Globe*, Feb. 3, 2021. “[Richard Cooper, Longtime Harvard Economist and Public Servant, Dies at 86](https://www.thecrimson.com/article/2021/1/25/richard-cooper-obituary/),” *Harvard Crimson*, Jan. 25. “[Richard Cooper, cutting-edge economist, dies at 86](https://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2021/01/international-economist-richard-cooper-dies-at-86/),” *Harvard Gazette*, Jan. 7, 2021. **On Emerging Markets** “[Will *Turkey's* currency crisis hurt Erdogan?”](https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2018/08/22/turkeys-currency-is-plummeting-heres-what-it-might-mean-for-president-erdogan/) *Washington Post,* August 23, 2018. "[South Korea's Conglomerates](/file_url/438)," [SAGE](http://businessresearcher.sagepub.com/sbr-1863-103804-2830718/20170821/south-koreas-conglomerates) [*Business Researcher*](https://businessresearcher.sagepub.com/sbr-1863-103804-2830718/20170821/south-koreas-conglomerates), Aug. 21, 2017. “[China's $500 Billion Lifeline Swaps Cash for World-Wide Clout,”](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-06-06/china-s-500-billion-lifeline-swaps-cash-for-world-wide-clout) *Bloomberg,* June 6, 2017. “[History Says Emerging-Market Carry Trade Could End in Tears](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-05-30/history-says-emerging-market-carry-trade-can-only-end-in-tears),” *Bloomberg*, May 30, 2017. , **On budget deficits:** "[As debt rises, the government will soon spend more on interest than on the military](https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/25/business/economy/us-government-debt-interest.html)," *New York Times*, Sept.27, 2018. "[Trump Tax Cuts Likely to Increase Trade Deficit](https://www.nytimes.com/2017/11/17/us/politics/tax-cuts-trade-deficit-trump.html)," *New York Times*, Nov. 17, 2017. “[The hubris of ten-year budgets](https://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2017/08/budgetary-crystal-balls),” *The Economist*, Aug.4, 2017. “[Why Donald Trump's tweet about national debt decrease in his first month is highly misleading](http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2017/feb/25/donald-trump/why-donald-trumps-tweet-about-decline-national-deb/),” *PolitiFact*, Feb. 25. "[National Debt: How High is Too High](http://www.csmonitor.com/Business/2017/0206/National-debt-How-high-is-too-high)?" *Christian Science Monitor*, Feb. 6, 2017. **On Trump 1:** “[A look at Trump's economic legacy](/file_url/913),” Catherine Thorbecke, *ABC News* and *Good Morning America*, Jan. 19, 2021 “[Economy Breaks Record on Trump’s Watch. He Wants All the Credit](https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2019-the-longest-expansion/),” *Bloomberg*, June 16, 2019. “[Reagan tax officials skeptical Trump can recreate 'Morning in America' in 2017](https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2017/10/30/ronald-reagan-tax-officials-skeptical-trump-can-recreate-morning-america-2017/798213001/),” *USA Today*, Oct. 31, 2017. “[Trump team taking more and more credit for Obama successes](https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/paloma/daily-202/2017/03/10/daily-202-trump-team-taking-more-and-more-credit-for-obama-successes/58c2661ae9b69b1406c75d59/?utm_term=.fe55cf79d664),” The Daily 202, *Washington Post*, Mar.10. “[How will the economic world order change under Trump](https://azeri.today/articles/3362/)?” *Azeri.Today*, March 9, 2017, \[In [Russian](https://azeri.today/articles/3354/)\] “[Donald Trump to decide on open Fed seats](http://www.bostonherald.com/business/business_markets/2017/02/donald_trump_to_decide_on_open_fed_seats),” *Boston Herald*, Feb. 11, 2017. "[Why Trump is Unlikely to Replicate Clinton-Era Growth](/www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2017-02-07/why-trump-is-unlikely-to-replicate-clinton-era-growth)," video, *Bloomberg*, Feb. 6, 2017. ["Meet the Trump-O-Meter](http://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/article126486674.html)," Miami Herald, Jan. 13, 2017. "[Why you don’t have to worry about the trade deficit](https://www.marketplace.org/2016/12/29/economy/why-you-don-t-have-worry-about-trade-deficit)," Marketplace Radio, NPR, Dec. 29. 2016. "[Trump suggests using Taiwan as a Bargaining Chip](https://www.marketplace.org/2016/12/12/world/trump-suggests-using-taiwan-bargaining-chip)," Marketplace Radio, NPR, Dec. 12, 2016. “[Trump and the Future of US Monetary Policy](http://www.cbc.ca/news/fed-in-focus-1.3844685),” *CBC* TV, Nov. 9, 2016. "[A look at the state of the US economy the new president will inherit](http://www.bnn.ca/the-business-news/a-look-at-the-state-of-the-u-s-economy-the-new-president-will-inherit~990062)," *BNN* TV, Nov. 8, 2016. "[What Former White House Economists Say About Donald Trump and Hilary Clinton](http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2016/08/25/what-former-white-house-economists-say-about-donald-trump-and-hillary-clinton/)," *WSJ*, Aug. 25, 2016. "[In a WSJ survey, no former members of the White House Council of Economic Advisers—spanning 8 presidents—openly support Mr. Trump](http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2016/08/25/economists-whove-advised-presidents-are-no-fans-of-donald-trump/)." **Published in international outlets:** “[In pursuit of the dollar to defend against inflation,”](http://www.repubblica.it/economia/affari-e-finanza/2022/07/04/news/allinseguimento_del_dollaro_per_difendersi_dallinflazione-356067997/) (in Italian), by Eugenio Occorsio, *Repubblica,* July 4, 2022 "20 Years of the Euro," [video interview](https://mediaview.aljazeera.com/video/B0N8abx1Yy), *Al Jazeera*, Jan. 1, 2022. ”[Scotland’s Next Financial Crisis?,”](https://www.these-islands.co.uk/publications/i371/scotlands_next_financial_crisis.aspx) *These Islands*, 08 Feb. Abridged in the[ *Spectator,*](https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/scotland-s-next-financial-crisis) 7th Feb., 2021*.* “[Macroeconomic stimulus in response to the coronavirus is inevitable](/file_url/910)," [EDAILY, Jan.1, 2021 (in Korean).](/file_url/909) “[Restart](https://www.chosun.com/economy/mint/2021/01/03/LXFUKPYSQRCRLFDYW4QQN5IG24/),” (in Korean) Mint, *Chosun Ilbo* , Jan. 3, 2021. "[Coronavirus on top of a weak global economy](/file_url/838)" (in Korean), *Chosun Ilbo*, Mar. 1, 2020. “[US presidential election is the biggest concern](https://news.chosun.com/site/data/html_dir/2020/01/01/2020010100008.html)” (in Korean), *Chosun Ilbo*, Jan. 1, 2020. [Video interview](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hxUPqI9wruk) on CERP Pakistan Development Forum, at Harvard EPoD, Oct.22, 2019. "[The US-imposed tariff hurt almost everyone](http://world.people.com.cn/n1/2019/0709/c1002-31221281.html)." interview in *People's Daily* {in Chinese}, July 9. [Interview on Iran-US relations](/file_url/731), [Seda magazine](/file_url/729) ([in Persian](/file_url/730)), April 2019. New Year [interviews with JF](http://www.jeffrey-frankel.com/2019/01/01/new-year-questions-about-the-economic-outlook), B.Eichengreen et al, [*Chosun Ilbo* (in Korean)](/file_url/678),Jan.1, 2019. ["Scoring 171/170 Is Possible](https://www.ndtv.com/education/scoring-171-170-is-possible-an-ias-topper-did-it-in-harvard-university-1970565)," *NDTV*, India, Dec. 31, 2018. "[Commodity Market Must Pay Attention to Event Risks, JPMCC Symposium Experts Sa](https://www.yicaiglobal.com/news/commodity-market-must-pay-attention-event-risks-jpmcc-symposium-experts-say)y," *Yicai Global*, Sept.3. "[Outlook for 2017](/file_url/244)," [*Chosun*](/file_url/242) [*Ilbo*](/file_url/243),Jan. 1, 2017. [**Op-eds and speeches**](https://www.hks.harvard.edu/fs/jfrankel/speechs&testimony.htm)**, including** [**monthly column at** ***Project Syndicate***](https://www.project-syndicate.org/columnist/jeffrey-frankel)**.** **\*\*\* Earlier appearances in News Media:** [**radio, video, newspapers, and other**](https://www.hks.harvard.edu/fs/jfrankel/NewsMedia.htm)**. \*\*\*** **2016** **"**[Hillary Clinton is touring the country touting one of the biggest promises of her campaign](http://www.businessinsider.com/hillary-clinton-jobs-infrastructure-100-days-donald-trump-2016-8)" \[infrastructure investment\], *Business Inside*r, Aug. 2016. "[Global Trade and the Politics of the TPP Backlash,](http://www.wbur.org/onpoint/2016/08/04/election-2016-tpp-trade-nafta)" *On Point*, with Tom Ashbrook, NPR, Aug.4, 2016. (My segments start at 20 minutes in.) "[Cheap Food from the Farm](http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p042pq5d)," BBC radio, Aug. 3. (My segment, on ag. subsidies, runs from 7-minute mark to 12 min. mark) ["How Bill Clinton, as first gentleman, could reshape role of first ladies"](http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Politics/2016/0726/How-Bill-Clinton-as-first-gentleman-could-reshape-role-of-first-ladies) *Christian Science Monitor*, July 26, 2016. **"**[Donald Trump Jr. says unemployment rates are manipulated for political purposes](http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/statements/2016/jul/25/donald-trump-jr/donald-trump-jr-says-unemployment-rates-are-manipu/),**"** *Politifact,* July 25. "[Politifact: Gov. Rick Scott wrong about U.S. economy growth](http://www.starfl.com/opinion/20160724/politifact-gov-rick-scott-wrong-about-us-economy-growth)," *Politifact*, e.g. *The Star,* July 24, 2016. [On Brexit, state of the economy & US jobs](http://www.everythingfinancialradio.com/2016/07/jeffrey-frankel-and-karl-denninger-join-host-dennis-tubbergen/) *Everything Financial Radio*, July 12, 2016 (4-10 min. mark & 11-19) “[Do Currency Interventions Work?](http://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2016-02-26/do-currency-interventions-actually-work)” *Bloomberg*, February 6, 2016. "[Why Don't Markets Believe the PBoC?](http://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2016-01-21/why-don-t-markets-believe-the-pboc-)" *Bloomberg*, Jan. 21, 2016. **2015** "[Don't Look Back: Economists Are Skeptical About a Slump](http://www.institutionalinvestor.com/article/3507482/asset-management-macro/dont-look-back-economists-are-skeptical-about-a-slump.html#/.VlVUMb8YF2A)," *Institutional Investor*, Nov.18. "[Congress Should Approve TPP](https://www.bostonglobe.com/opinion/2015/11/11/jeffrey-frankel-congress-should-approve-tpp/Y5gKGNk0SLf0iIxqp404WP/story.html)," *Boston Globe,* Nov. 11. "[Will the Trans Pacific Partnership Make Workers' Lives Better](http://www.psmag.com/business-economics/can-the-trans-pacific-partnership-make-workers-lives-better)?" *Pacific Standard*, Nov.12. "[Professors' Opinion of Democratic Debate](http://www.thecrimson.com/article/2015/10/15/professors-opinion-democratic-debate/)," *Harvard Crimson*, Oct. 15,2015 [Kerry, the Iran deal & the dollar](/file_url/905), *Marketplace* radio interview, NPR, Sept. 2, 2015. "[TPP Environmental Accord](http://www.csmonitor.com/Business/2015/0731/TPP-environmental-accord-can-it-change-bad-business-practices)," *Christian Science Monitor*, July 31, 2015."[Why economists think the Trans-Pacific Partnership will be good for Americans](http://www.pri.org/stories/2015-05-22/why-economists-love-much-criticized-trans-pacific-partnership)," Public Radio International's *The World*, May 22. "[U.S. lawmakers battle over currency in trade deals](http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/02/26/usa-currency-idUSL1N0VZ2D920150226)," *Reuters*, Feb. 25 2015. "[IMF set for lively debate on adding yuan to SDR basket](http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/01/26/imf-yuan-idUSL6N0V239720150126)," *Reuters*, Jan.26, 2015. **2014** "[ECB Should Fire Up Its Helicopters](http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2014-11-30/ecb-should-fire-up-its-helicopters)," Bloomberg, Nov. 30, 2014. "[How Do President Obama's Policies Affect the Economy?](http://video.foxbusiness.com/v/3597418455001/how-do-president-obamas-policies-affect-the-economy/?playlist_id=933116618001#sp=show-clips)" Video, *Varney & Co.*, Fox Business, May 30. "[Thomas Piketty and his Critics](http://www.nytimes.com/2014/05/14/opinion/edsall-thomas-piketty-and-his-critics.html?hp&rref=opinion&_r=0)," *NYT*, May 14. "[China's Economy: Does Size Matter](http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p01ygj0p)," *BBC* radio, May 11. \[At 8-10 min.mark; 11:40-12:50; 20:20-21:30.\] "[The ECB Can, and Should, Ease Monetary Policy](http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2014-05-08/the-ecb-can-and-should-ease-monetary-policy)," *Bloomberg,* May 8. ["How Europe Can Ease its Way to Inflation Goals](http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2014-03-21/how-europe-can-ease-its-way-to-inflation-goals)," *Bloomberg,* March 21. "[Fed May End Stimulus This Fall](http://bostonherald.com/business/business_markets/2014/03/fed_may_end_stimulus_this_fall)," *Boston Herald,* March 20. "[Once Again: Yes, the Stimulus Worked](http://www.latimes.com/business/hiltzik/la-fi-mh-stimulus-worked-20140228,0,6569837.story#axzz2j74rn4sY)," *LA Times*, Feb. 28. "[New Fed Chair Vows to Stay the Cours](http://bostonherald.com/business/business_markets/2014/02/new_fed_chair_vows_to_stay_the_course)e," *Boston Herald,* Feb. 12, 2014. "[A new era for the US Fed as Yellen takes the reins](http://www.worldfinance.com/banking/a-new-era-for-the-us-fed-as-yellen-takes-the-reins)," *World Finance*, Jan. 21. "[How Janet Yellen's Agenda Could Transform Washington](http://www.nationaljournal.com/magazine/how-janet-yellen-s-agenda-could-transform-washington-20140106)," *National Journal*, Jan.6, 2014. "[The Big Bang Theory: Is the US Economy About to go Boom?](http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/01/will-the-economy-boom-in-2014-101687?paginate=false)" *Politico*, Jan.2, 2014. **2013** "[Learning to Push Against the Cycle](http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2013/10/fiscal-policy-0)," *The Economist*, Oct.17, 2013. "[Debt Debacle to Shave 1% Off Growth](http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?play=1&video=3000207184)," video interview, *Squawk Box*, *CNBC Asia*, Oct.16. "[Imagining the Dollar](http://www.hks.harvard.edu/fs/jfrankel/ImagingDollarWithoutPrivilegeNYTOct15-2013.docx) [without its Privilege,](http://www.nytimes.com/2013/10/16/business/imagining-the-dollar-without-its-privilege.html)" Eduardo Porter, [New York Times, Oct. 15](/scholar.harvard.edu/files/frankel/files/imagingdollarwithoutprivilegenytoct15-2013.pdf.%C2%A0%C2%A0),.2013. "[US Treasury Warns Debt Stoush Could Spark Financial Crisis](http://www.abc.net.au/news/2013-10-04/us-treasury-warns-debt-ceiling-stoush-could-spark-financial-cri/4998370)," *ABC News*, Australia, Oct.4 “[Who Will Listen to the President’s Warning to Wall Street?” ](https://video.foxbusiness.com/v/2715877143001/#sp=show-clips)video, [Varney & Co., *Fox Business*](http://www.foxbusiness.com/on-air/varney-co/index.html). "[US Shutdown Risk to Global Economy](http://downloads.bbc.co.uk/podcasts/worldservice/wbnews/wbnews_20131003-1817a.mp3)," radio, BBC, Oct.3. "[Fed Faces New Era of Thinking Global as Yellen Nomination Nears](http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-09-22/fed-faces-new-era-of-thinking-global-as-yellen-nomination-nears.html)," *Bloomberg,* Sept.22. "[Fed''s stimulating words](http://bostonherald.com/business/business_markets/2013/09/feds_stimulating_words)," *Boston Herald*, Sept.19, 2013. [Larry Summers](http://www.bostonglobe.com/business/2013/09/14/should-summers-lead-fed/mMteepH1a2MhOutABlk7nI/story.html) Will [Not Seek Fed Post](http://www.bostonglobe.com/news/politics/2013/09/15/larry-summers-facing-tough-senate-fight-bows-out-race-for-fed-chief-appointment/uujXeIcNIZ1rbY2zVsJnvO/story.html), *Boston Globe,* Sept.16 [“She Won’t Be Yellen for Change,”, *Boston Herald*](http://bostonherald.com/business/business_markets/2013/09/she_won_t_be_yellen_for_change), Sept. 17, 2013. “[Fracking films reflect twists in drilling debate](https://www.denverpost.com/2013/07/21/fracking-films-reflect-twists-in-drilling-debate/),” *Associated Press*, July 21. “[What’s Dragging Down the Economy?](http://video.foxbusiness.com/v/2548755025001)” video, Varney & Co., *Fox Business*. July 16, 2013. "[Europe rethinks its pursuit of austerity](http://www.gulf-times.com/opinion/189/details/356860/europe-rethinks-its-pursuit-of-austerity)," *LA Times,* June 19, 2013. "[Bernanke Economy in Fed Centennial Poised for GDP Growth](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2013-06-03/bernanke-economy-in-fed-centennial-poised-for-gdp-growth)," *Bloomberg*/*BusinessWeek*, June 4. "[Intergalactic Trade -**-**Global trade surplus: proof of alien life](http://www.business-standard.com/article/opinion/intergalactic-trade-113053001167_1.html)? *Business Standard*, May 30. "[Sharing Abuse Fairly](https://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/05/21/sharing-abuse-fairly/)," The Conscience of a Liberal, Paul Krugman, *NYT*, May 21, 2013. "[Euro Resilient Amid Doubts of Turmoil as Dire: Cutting Research](http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-04-25/euro-resilient-amid-doubts-of-turmoil-as-dire-cutting-research.html)," *Bloomberg*, Apr.25. "Harvard Professor Says Fracking Good for Environment," Varney & Co., *Fox Business*, April 24. [Video of session on Forecasting Commodity Prices](http://www.imf.org/external/mmedia/view.aspx?vid=2260845155001), [IMF Research Dept](http://www.imf.org/external/np/seminars/eng/2012/commodity/). conference, March 21. [Video on Consequences of the Development of New Energy Sources](http://www.imf.org/external/mmedia/view.aspx?vid=2260899182001)" (22-min.mark to 33-min.). mark), [IMF conference](http://www.imf.org/external/np/seminars/eng/2012/commodity/), March 20, 2013. ["Emerging Markets Dump Euro Reserves](http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/77ebfe6c-99f4-11e2-83ca-00144feabdc0.html#axzz2PA1JCWek),” *Financial Times*, March 31, 2013. “[AEI Considers Whether World Economy Is in Currency War](http://www.moneynews.com/Robert-Feinberg/IMF-Fed-currency-war-monetary-policy/2013/03/25/id/496141#ixzz2Og1tTU7e),” *Moneynews*, March 25. ["Sequester goes into effect as both sides trade blame](///C:%5CUsers%5Cjfrankel%5CDocuments%5CBlog+OpEds%5CPress%5CSequesterIntoEffect%20Globe2013.pdf)," *Boston Globe*, March 2. "[Busting the budget](http://news.harvard.edu/gazette/story/2013/02/busting-the-budget/) Q&A on how federal sequestration is likely to play out," *Harvard Gazette,* Feb.28, 2013. **"**[**The Cold Hard Truth about the Obama Economy**](https://video.foxnews.com/v/2130362114001)**,"** ***The Sean Hannity Show*****, Fox News, Jan.30, 2013.** \[My prediction that 2012Q4 GDP could be revised to positive was subsequently borne out.\] ["Pimco to Norway Love Mexico, as New Bond Gauges Use GDP](http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-01-21/pimco-to-norway-love-mexico-as-new-bond-gauges-use-gdp.html)" *Bloomberg*, Jan. 22. “[Harvard Prof.: There Are Worse Ideas than a Trillion Dollar Coin](https://www.wgbh.org/news/post/harvard-prof-there-are-worse-ideas-trillion-dollar-coin),” *WGBH News*, Boston Public Radio, Jan.15. “[The Cleverness of a Trillion Dollar Coin](https://www.bostonmagazine.com/news/2013/01/14/trillion-dollar-coin-jeffrey-frankel/),” Rosemary Chandler, *Boston Magazine*, Jan.14, 2013. "[Effective Marginal Tax Rates for Low-Income Workers Are High](http://www.heritage.org/research/reports/2013/01/effective-marginal-tax-rates-for-low-income-workers-are-high#_edn5)," Salim Furth, *Jan.8,* The Heritage Foundation. [Six video appearances: 1997-2006:](https://drive.google.com/open?id=1rDVhjgcFhBgtMsz4O6ZAYsdfMLWBrb49) 1. 10/3/1997, Reuters (White House lawn, DC), Subject: Report on 9/97 Employment Statistics 2. Nov. 20, 1997, Reuters (Vancouver, Canada), Subject: The Economy and the Asia Crisis 3. May, 1998, Reuters (White House Press Room, DC), Subject: Report on 4/98 Employment Statistics 4. Dec 2001, CNBC (Cambridge, MA), Subject: NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee 5. 2/7/2003, CNBC with Larry Kudlow (Boston, MA), Subject: Release of Bush Administration's *Economic Report of the President* 6. 2/3/2006 Bloomberg (Cambridge MA), Subject: Nomination by Bush of Ben Bernanke as Fed Chair. (Co-panelist: Doug Holtz-Eaken) Monetary Policy Committee*,* [Bank of Mauritius](https://www.bom.mu/?id=Home), 2013-2014: - “Sept.30, 2013., [*Central Bank News*](http://www.centralbanknews.info/2013/09/mauritius-holds-repo-rate-on-contained.html) ,”[on contained inflation](/file_url/315) [Mauritius holds repo rate](/file_url/314)" - Mauritius Governor Says His Inflation Concern is Minority View," *Bloomberg/Business Week*, June 18, 2013. - "[Mauritius Central Bank](/file_url/316) [Cuts Repo Rate](/file_url/317)," *NewstimeAfrica*, June 2013 - Bank of Mauritius [COMMUNIQUE](/file_url/318) [announcing](/file_url/319) [appointment of new members](http://www.4-traders.com/news/Bank-of-Mauritius-COMMUNIQUE-Monetary-Policy-Committee--16374901/) to reconstituted Monetary Policy Committee, March 1, 2013. \[\]