Expectations about the Foreign Exchange Markets
"The Forward Market in Emerging Currencies: Less Biased than in Major Currencies," with Jumana Poonawala, 2010, Journal of International Money and Finance, vol. 29(3), pages 585-598, April. With appendices: HKS RWP09-023. NBER WP No. 12496.
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Bias in the Forward Rate as a Predictor of the Future Spot Exchange Rate